\n| 13<\/td>\n | Kellen Moore<\/td>\n | Boise St.<\/td>\n | Mid-Late 4<\/td>\n | Outstanding production lacks physical attributes<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n Whoa! Ryan Tannehill 12th? \u00a0Russell Wilson 4th? \u00a0Ryan Lindley 8th? \u00a0Caught your eye didn’t it? \u00a0Here’s my criteria for potential NFL quarterbacks: \u00a0Experience, production and then physical attributes. It’s always interesting to me how analysts will try to crystal ball prospects and rate them this way. \u00a0NFL teams that engage in this practice set themselves up for failure. \u00a0Experienced stock traders will tell you to get on a stock when it has made it’s initial run and then get off when you have secured a tidy profit. \u00a0That’s how NFL draft picks should be pursued. \u00a0Trying to guess that Apple is going to $400 a share when it’s currently at $5 will more than likely have you buying a stock like Tandy Computers that busts. \u00a0How does this equate to potential NFL QB’s? \u00a0 There’s nothing like a college quarterback that has been a starter for three or more years. \u00a0The only thing better than that is quarterback that has produced quite well at the college level for three or more years. \u00a0That prospect has shown you what he’s going to be like in the NFL. He is a stock that has made it’s run. \u00a0Many can go out and have one great year but a whole lot less can go out after a great season and light it up again when everyone on the schedule is gunning for you. \u00a0When you find a guy that did that for two or three years after they were the man then you have a guy that can hack it in the National Football League.<\/p>\n In the NFL you are playing the same teams over and over and teams will have a ton of information on you before you even step on the field to play. \u00a0The question is can you adjust and maintain when teams know you and game plan against you? \u00a0I put a premium on quarterbacks that have shown me they can do that in college. \u00a0So if you are a one year starter, \u00a0chances are, \u00a0you are going to have a hard time in the NFL. \u00a0On top of that, \u00a0the higher up you are picked as an inexperienced QB, \u00a0the greater the chance of failure because the pressure will kill you. \u00a0I am only semi-sold on two year starters that have produced both years. \u00a0You better have the physical attributes if that’s the case and even in that situation I am still taking a bit of a shot in the dark on you. \u00a0Now when you have produced for three years or even four years, \u00a0you have shown me that you can handle the grind of the NFL. \u00a0Unless you have glaring weaknesses in physical attributes, i.e. very short, very weak arm, etc. or you have off the field issues then you have the goods to be an NFL playmaker at the QB position.<\/p>\n Of course, \u00a0I love history and I went back to research this little theory I have. \u00a0I will start off by saying that there are always exceptions to the rule. \u00a0So don’t go emailing me about the guys here and there that you saw with one or two years in college or little production that got it done in the NFL. \u00a0Furthermore, \u00a0don’t go emailing me Ty Detmer’s name. \u00a0I did say that they can’t have glaring NFL physical impediments. \u00a0Detmer was very short and had a weak arm. \u00a0Despite that, \u00a0he did do a decent job the one year that he was entrusted to run the team. \u00a0I’ll tell you this, \u00a0Andre Ware and David Klingler would have loved to have had that one season that Detmer did.<\/p>\n Do your research and you will see the Alex Smith’s, Mark Sanchez’s, Jamarcus Russell’s, Vince Young’s of the NFL that had or are having a hard time because they were high draft picks with a lot of pressure and not enough experience to combat it. \u00a0Turn around now and check the length and depth of college production from Eli Manning, Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Tony Romo. \u00a0Check the history of the John Elways, Dan Marinos, Brett Favres. \u00a0 Someone will want to show me Tom Brady. \u00a0 Brady did not have that three year or four year Michigan starting career nor did he put up big numbers but you know what else, \u00a0he wasn’t drafted in the first round. Nor was he drafted in the 2nd, 3rd, 4th or 5th round. \u00a0I am willing to bet that Tom Brady’s NFL career would not have been as fruitful if he was a top 10 or 20 pick when he came out. \u00a0His lack of college production combined with the pressure of being a #1 pick would have changed the course of his career. \u00a0As a 6th rounder, he entered the NFL with no pressure and a nothing to lose mentality. \u00a0He also ended up on a great football team.<\/p>\n Many high producers in college don’t get the necessary chance in the NFL because scouts and analysts get hung up on things that don’t mean squat. \u00a0They overemphasize height by getting down on a guy that’s 6 feet tall (Drew Brees) or a guy who can’t throw it 80 yards like Jamarcus Russell. \u00a0Well Chad Pennington had a pretty solid NFL career without the rocket arm. \u00a0When you have a chance, check the length and depth of Chad Pennington’s college career against Jamarcus Russell’s or Joey Harrington’s. \u00a0It should come as no surprise why he outperformed them both at the next level. \u00a0Houston’s Case Keenum is this type of guy. \u00a0The most prolific passer in college football history who stands at a reasonable 6’1″ is being down graded for all kinds of reasons, knee surgery, delivery, college offensive system, blah, blah, blah. \u00a0These guys with these so called impediments have had them all their lives and somehow they managed to win a starting job, go out and produce and then do it year after year with everyone trying to stop them. \u00a0You have to pay attention to that.<\/p>\n After you get over the shock of these rankings, \u00a0do some research. \u00a0Check the college production of a quarterback and match it up with what they did in the pros. One of the best sites online to go do this research is Totalfootballstats.com<\/a>. \u00a0You will be able to view the college and pro stats of almost any player you desire (from the modern era of course). \u00a0Check it out. \u00a0The proof is in the pudding.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Is there anything more analyzed than the NFL draft and it’s prospects? \u00a0If only oil and gas prices<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[657],"tags":[673,674,40,672,671],"class_list":["post-2253","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-nfl-2","tag-andrew-luck","tag-kirk-cousins","tag-nfl-draft","tag-robert-griffin-iii","tag-ryan-tannehill"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gridironstuds.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2253","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gridironstuds.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gridironstuds.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gridironstuds.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/44"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gridironstuds.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2253"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/gridironstuds.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2253\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gridironstuds.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2253"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gridironstuds.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2253"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gridironstuds.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2253"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}} |
![\"\"](\"http:\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/thumb\/f\/ff\/Ryan_Tannehill_vs_Iowa_State_2011.jpg\/200px-Ryan_Tannehill_vs_Iowa_State_2011.jpg\" "\\"ryan")
Is there anything more analyzed than the NFL draft and it’s prospects? \u00a0If only oil and gas prices were analyzed as intensely \u00a0maybe I wouldn’t spend so much time with the low fuel light on. \u00a0With that said, \u00a0for all the analyzing going on, \u00a0it seems that most involved in the business suffer from this herd mentality. \u00a0The top 5 or 10 are the same for pretty much everyone. \u00a0Furthermore, \u00a0the analysts make the same mistakes every year and then pontificate on what a bust a player is when history is just repeating itself. \u00a0I guess I am the only fool that will look at things the way they really are and pay attention to history. \u00a0 Below is my list in order of the top QB’s (used loosely) in this year’s NFL draft. \u00a0My list won’t look like many of the others you have viewed. \u00a0My list is born out of what history has taught me about college QB entering into the pro game. \u00a0Below the list, \u00a0I explain some of the rankings that deviate sharply from what the “experts” are saying:<\/p>\n